Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
72.5%
exp. goals
2.71
edge
-4.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
31.05.26
0:2
Under 2.5
05.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
21.09.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
10.08.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won