Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.9%
exp. goals
3.63
edge
+35.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.08.26
2:0
Under 2.5
31.05.26
1:7
Over 2.5 won
05.04.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won