Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
65.3%
exp. goals
3.15
edge
-9.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
15.08.26
2:5
Over 2.5 won
22.05.26
1:1
Under 2.5
19.07.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
26.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5