Matches / Copa Uruguay / Albion FC — Progreso · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Copa Uruguay 03.09 · 21:00 · Finished
Albion FC
home
Albion FC
2 : 1
Progreso
Progreso
away
12.21 X3.4 24
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.81.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% No 1.81 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 82.4% exp. goals 2.29 edge -2.8%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

07.06.26 2:1 Over 2.5 won
07.03.26 2:2 Over 2.5 won
29.11.23 2:3 Over 2.5 won
22.07.23 3:0 Over 2.5 won