Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.4%
exp. goals
2.29
edge
-2.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
07.06.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
07.03.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
29.11.23
2:3
Over 2.5 won
22.07.23
3:0
Over 2.5 won