Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74.7%
exp. goals
2.44
edge
-8.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.08.26
0:1
Under 2.5
22.02.26
1:0
Under 2.5
03.09.22
1:0
Under 2.5
11.06.22
0:0
Under 2.5