Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.9%
exp. goals
2.99
edge
+3.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.07.26
1:0
Under 2.5
04.04.26
1:1
Under 2.5
28.09.25
0:2
Under 2.5
07.06.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won