Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
68.4%
exp. goals
2.03
edge
-0.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.07.26
1:0
Under 2.5
08.03.26
0:1
Under 2.5
15.01.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
10.08.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won