Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
2
Match result
probability
84.8%
exp. goals
3.20
edge
+9.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.03.26
0:0
Under 2.5
18.10.25
0:2
Under 2.5
20.12.20
1:5
Over 2.5 won