Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 10.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.8%
exp. goals
2.52
edge
-7.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.08.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
04.06.26
0:2
Under 2.5
06.05.25
6:4
Over 2.5 won