Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 3.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
82.2%
exp. goals
2.39
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
15.02.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
29.10.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
24.08.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won