Premier League
03.09 · 20:00
· Finished
Express
2 : 0
KCCA
14.2
X3.15
22.06
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.54.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 1.5
2.54
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
72.2%
exp. goals
2.39
edge
-19.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
11.03.26
0:3
Over 2.5 won
23.10.25
0:1
Under 2.5
24.05.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
07.12.24
1:0
Under 2.5