Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.2%
exp. goals
1.87
edge
+16.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
07.05.26
2:0
Under 2.5
21.01.26
1:0
Under 2.5