Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.2%
exp. goals
2.31
edge
+10.4%
The model agrees with the majority
It matches the authors’ top selection — there is little disagreement on this match.
Head-to-head
08.03.26
1:0
Under 2.5
06.11.25
0:0
Under 2.5
23.10.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
03.08.25
1:1
Under 2.5