Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.3%
exp. goals
2.36
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
12.05.26
1:1
Under 2.5
04.05.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
21.08.24
1:0
Under 2.5
07.05.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won