Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.7%
exp. goals
2.97
edge
-3.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
05.09.26
1:1
Under 2.5
02.05.26
0:0
Under 2.5
21.04.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
18.03.23
0:3
Over 2.5 won