Matches / Copa Paulista / Comercial — EC São Bernardo · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Copa Paulista 01.09 · 02:00 · Finished
Comercial
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Comercial
2 : 0
EC São Bernardo
EC São Bernardo
away
12.92 X3 22.7
1 pick on the match 1 disagree with the model

Average odds 2.93.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% 1 2.93 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 73.5% exp. goals 2.41 edge -14%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

05.09.26 0:2 Under 2.5
01.03.25 0:0 Under 2.5
19.03.22 4:2 Over 2.5 won
07.11.20 1:3 Over 2.5 won