Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74.3%
exp. goals
2.13
edge
-9.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.10.21
2:0
Under 2.5
13.05.21
0:1
Under 2.5
15.04.21
1:2
Over 2.5 won
06.12.20
0:2
Under 2.5