Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
71.6%
exp. goals
2.58
edge
-8.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
06.04.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
07.02.26
0:1
Under 2.5
02.11.25
0:1
Under 2.5
16.08.25
1:0
Under 2.5