Matches / Division Profesional - Clausura / Deportivo Recoleta — Cerro Porteno · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Division Profesional - Clausura 04.09 · 00:30 · Finished
Deportivo Recoleta
home
Deportivo Recoleta
1 : 3
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno
away
14.26 X3.5 21.91
1 pick on the match 1 disagree with the model

Average odds 3.10.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Over 1.5 3.10 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalytic model

Under 23.5
Fouls over/under
probability 76.3% exp. goals 2.96
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

03.05.26 2:1 Over 2.5 won
02.03.26 0:2 Under 2.5
04.10.25 0:2 Under 2.5
27.07.25 1:3 Over 2.5 won