Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
1
Match result
probability
82.8%
exp. goals
3.44
edge
-0.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.02.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
25.10.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
27.02.25
5:2
Over 2.5 won
06.09.24
0:0
Under 2.5