Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: X
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74.5%
exp. goals
1.80
edge
+11.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
15.12.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
20.02.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
21.09.24
1:1
Under 2.5
04.05.23
2:2
Over 2.5 won