Cup
03.09 · 19:00
· Finished
Rīgas FS
2 : 3
Riga
12.43
X3.4
22.67
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.20.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 1.5
2.20
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.9%
exp. goals
2.97
edge
-5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.08.26
3:3
Over 2.5 won
17.06.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
28.04.26
3:3
Over 2.5 won
07.11.25
4:3
Over 2.5 won