Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.9%
exp. goals
2.41
edge
+9.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.08.26
0:0
Under 2.5
12.06.26
4:0
Over 2.5 won
18.04.26
0:2
Under 2.5
20.02.26
0:0
Under 2.5