Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 author
33%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.1%
exp. goals
3.20
edge
-6.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
13.05.25
0:1
Under 2.5
14.12.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won
09.03.24
1:0
Under 2.5
17.09.23
2:4
Over 2.5 won