Primera División
30.08 · 21:30
· Finished
Penarol
0 : 1
Club Nacional
12.45
X3.2
23.25
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.09.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 1.5
2.63
high
Under 10.5
1.54
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
72.8%
exp. goals
2.65
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.03.26
1:0
Under 2.5
02.02.26
0:0
Under 2.5
30.11.25
0:1
Under 2.5
23.11.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won