Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
73.5%
exp. goals
2.55
edge
-10.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
09.05.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
04.07.25
0:0
Under 2.5
30.03.25
0:1
Under 2.5
05.10.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won