FA Trophy
29.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Bognor Regis Town
3 : 0
South Park
3
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.92.
Picks on the match
3 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.95
medium
Under 1.5
1.46
high
Under 2.5
2.35
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.7%
exp. goals
3.93
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.03.26
1:0
Under 2.5
10.01.26
1:0
Under 2.5
22.11.23
1:4
Over 2.5 won
22.09.20
2:2
Over 2.5 won