Queensland NPL
30.08 · 10:00
· Finished
Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula Power
11.93
X3.93
23.6
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.93.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.93
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.9%
exp. goals
2.98
edge
-7.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.08.26
1:0
Under 2.5
25.04.26
2:3
Over 2.5 won
06.09.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
02.08.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won