Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.2%
exp. goals
1.65
edge
+27.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.08.26
0:2
Under 2.5
16.05.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
26.04.26
1:0
Under 2.5
08.03.26
0:2
Under 2.5