Matches / Copa Rio / Sampaio Corrêa RJ — Nova Iguaçu · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Copa Rio 02.09 · 20:45 · Finished
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
home
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2 : 1
Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
away
12.45 X3.2 23.15
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.54.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 1.5 1.54 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability 82.2% exp. goals 1.65 edge +27.4%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

26.08.26 0:2 Under 2.5
16.05.26 1:2 Over 2.5 won
26.04.26 1:0 Under 2.5
08.03.26 0:2 Under 2.5