Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
1
Match result
probability
75.1%
exp. goals
3.15
edge
+174.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
29.08.26
1:0
Under 2.5
20.08.26
2:3
Over 2.5 won
05.07.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
13.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5