Matches / KNVB Beker / Harkemase Boys — Excelsior '31 · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
KNVB Beker 01.09 · 21:00 · Finished
Harkemase Boys
home
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1
Excelsior '31
Excelsior '31
away
12.31 X3.9 22.89
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.67.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 1.5 1.67 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalytic model

Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability 84.7% exp. goals 3.31 edge -0.1%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

25.04.26 1:0 Under 2.5
22.11.25 1:2 Over 2.5 won
10.05.25 5:1 Over 2.5 won
30.11.24 1:0 Under 2.5