KNVB Beker
01.09 · 21:00
· Finished
ADO '20
1 : 1
Excelsior Maassluis
12.67
X3.7
22.6
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.65.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
1.65
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.1%
exp. goals
2.72
edge
-6.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.05.25
0:2
Under 2.5
04.02.25
0:4
Over 2.5 won
23.03.24
3:0
Over 2.5 won
14.10.23
1:0
Under 2.5