Premier League
04.09 · 18:35
· Finished
Al Qadsia
3 : 0
Al Nasar
11.74
X3.95
24.67
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.44.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
1.44
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75%
exp. goals
2.91
edge
-8.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
31.12.25
0:0
Under 2.5
13.09.25
4:0
Over 2.5 won
31.03.25
1:0
Under 2.5
23.02.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won