Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
2
Match result
probability
83.8%
exp. goals
2.98
edge
+2.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.05.26
1:1
Under 2.5
04.11.25
0:4
Over 2.5 won
26.05.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
12.02.24
0:6
Over 2.5 won