Liga Alef
03.09 · 20:45
· Finished
Maccabi Ashdod
1 : 2
Hapoel Herzliya
12.52
X3.3
22.65
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.95.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.95
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.1%
exp. goals
2.59
edge
-3.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
05.12.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
07.02.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
09.10.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won
26.02.24
1:0
Under 2.5