Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.4%
exp. goals
2.50
edge
-0.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
12.12.25
1:1
Under 2.5
06.02.25
0:0
Under 2.5
09.10.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won
08.04.22
3:1
Over 2.5 won