Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
68.5%
exp. goals
3.28
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.02.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
14.02.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
04.12.23
5:0
Over 2.5 won
18.01.23
3:2
Over 2.5 won