Taça de Portugal
30.08 · 19:00
· Finished
Rebordosa
2 : 2
Alpendorada
12.13
X3.5
23.66
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.40.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 1.5
2.40
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
71.9%
exp. goals
2.85
edge
+4.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.01.26
1:1
Under 2.5
17.08.25
2:0
Under 2.5
19.03.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won
04.12.22
3:0
Over 2.5 won