Matches / Taça de Portugal / Nazarenos — Vitória de Sernache · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Taça de Portugal 30.08 · 19:00 · Finished
Nazarenos
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Nazarenos
0 : 3
Vitória de Sernache
Vitória de Sernache
away
15.6 X3.65 21.66
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.85.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 1.5 1.85 medium

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 73.6% exp. goals 0.84 edge -8%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.