Matches / Taça de Portugal / Lusitano Évora 1911 — CF Os Belenenses · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Taça de Portugal 30.08 · 19:00 · Finished
Lusitano Évora 1911
home
Lusitano Évora 1911
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
CF Os Belenenses
away
14.8 X3.8 21.8
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.55.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Over 0.5 1.55 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 0.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability 76.8% exp. goals 3.38 edge +46.7%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

07.12.25 0:1 Under 2.5
23.08.25 0:1 Under 2.5