Taça de Portugal
29.08 · 19:00
· Finished
Fátima
3 : 1
Benfica Castelo Branco
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.64.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
1.64
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.8%
exp. goals
2.60
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.04.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
21.12.25
0:1
Under 2.5
26.01.25
1:0
Under 2.5
01.09.24
0:0
Under 2.5