Matches / Campionato / Tre Penne — Cosmos · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Campionato 04.09 · 22:15 · Finished
Tre Penne
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Tre Penne
2 : 0
Cosmos
Cosmos
away
11.64 X3.9 25.8
2 picks on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 2.07.

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 0.5 1 author
Total goals (match): Under 2.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 79.3% exp. goals 2.36 edge -0.1%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

06.05.26 0:0 Under 2.5
03.05.26 0:0 Under 2.5
15.02.26 1:1 Under 2.5
17.10.25 0:3 Over 2.5 won