Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 0.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.3%
exp. goals
2.36
edge
-0.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
06.05.26
0:0
Under 2.5
03.05.26
0:0
Under 2.5
15.02.26
1:1
Under 2.5
17.10.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won