Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.5%
exp. goals
2.28
edge
+1.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
16.05.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
18.01.26
1:1
Under 2.5
31.08.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
02.04.25
1:0
Under 2.5