Matches / Campionato / Tre Fiori — Pennarossa · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Campionato 30.08 · 16:00 · Finished
Tre Fiori
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Tre Fiori
5 : 2
Pennarossa
Pennarossa
away
11.5 X4.2 26.6
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.45.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% 1 1.45 low

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalytic model

Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability 76.6% exp. goals 3.28 edge -10.4%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

26.04.26 1:1 Under 2.5
11.02.26 0:0 Under 2.5
21.10.25 3:0 Over 2.5 won
24.09.25 1:1 Under 2.5