Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
71.4%
exp. goals
3.36
edge
-10.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
30.05.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
04.02.26
2:5
Over 2.5 won
01.02.26
0:2
Under 2.5
29.11.25
0:7
Over 2.5 won