Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.7%
exp. goals
2.53
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
11.07.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
08.02.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
02.02.26
1:1
Under 2.5
09.11.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won