Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.4%
exp. goals
3.28
edge
-10.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.07.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
15.12.25
1:0
Under 2.5
23.07.25
1:0
Under 2.5
30.10.24
1:0
Under 2.5