Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalyticD model
1
Match result
probability
73.6%
exp. goals
3.16
edge
-16.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
12.12.25
0:1
Under 2.5
28.07.25
3:3
Over 2.5 won
13.07.25
6:0
Over 2.5 won