Primera División
05.09 · 00:15
· Finished
ABB
2 : 0
Universitario de Vinto
11.95
X3.85
23.65
3
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.05.
Picks on the match
3 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
2.50
low
Under 9.5
1.75
medium
1
1.91
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
33%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 author
33%
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80%
exp. goals
2.76
edge
-6.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.04.26
2:5
Over 2.5 won
25.10.25
0:0
Under 2.5
11.10.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
26.09.25
2:0
Under 2.5