Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.2%
exp. goals
3.71
edge
+6.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.04.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
15.12.25
3:5
Over 2.5 won
20.07.25
0:2
Under 2.5
10.11.23
0:5
Over 2.5 won